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Only 44.8% of peer fundraisers raised any donations at all. That’s one of the stark takeaways from a new study examining the Workout for Water campaign – a global peer-to-peer (P2P) fundraising partnership between UNICEF New Zealand and the fitness company Les Mills.
By analysing real-world data from 1,899 individual fitness instructors, researchers Laura Hesse and Silke Boenigk have pinpointed which factors most strongly predict success – and which don’t – in a corporate–nonprofit P2P setting.
While the campaign context is the fitness sector, the implications apply across causes. If your charity runs P2P drives in partnership with businesses, this is essential reading.
Most previous P2P research has focused on donor behaviour in private networks – friends, family, and colleagues – or treated all fundraisers as equally capable once they’ve set up a page. This study flips the focus to the fundraisers themselves, including those who raised nothing.
It’s also rare in using direct observable data rather than surveys. The team web-scraped every public fundraiser page from the 2019–2021 campaign, then matched them to professional rank data from LinkedIn, Instagram and Les Mills’ own website.
The analysis used a two-part statistical model:
This separation matters, because more than half of participants (55.2%) failed at stage one.
The researchers found three clear categories of success factors – all of which are under a charity’s or fundraiser’s control to some extent.
Fundraisers who went beyond the platform defaults did better:
The statistical standout was the amount of the personalised target, which had the strongest effect of all page-customisation variables.
Practical tip: Provide templates, but push fundraisers to edit them. Setting a realistic but stretching target sends a strong signal to potential donors.
Beyond page tweaks, active effort paid off:
Practical tip: Encourage fundraisers to layer activities – e.g., an in-person challenge plus the online page. On self-donations, coach them to make one but not leave it as the only visible gift.
Professional reputation – here, being a Les Mills “champion” instructor – was powerful:
Only 9.1% of fundraisers held this status, but they brought in 51.6% of all donations.
Practical tip: If working with a corporate partner, identify and recruit their most visible, respected staff or members early. They’re the anchors of the campaign.
BetterNow’s own data – drawn from over 35,000 fundraisers and 300,000 donations – strongly echoes the study’s main points, but also highlights additional nuances .
In short, the new research backs up our own machine learning insights: fundraising success isn’t random – it’s predictable, and it can be influenced.
Our AI Fundraiser Coach is designed to nudge fundraisers towards the behaviours shown in both our data and this study to increase success rates:
By automating these prompts, we aim to scale what a dedicated campaign coach would do – ensuring more fundraisers cross that first-donation threshold and grow their totals.
If your charity is partnering with a business on P2P fundraising, don’t assume enthusiasm will translate into donations without guidance. The strongest results come when you combine visible credibility signals (page personalisation, professional standing) with active engagement (extra events, self-gifts) – and recruit people who can deliver both.
This study and our own data show exactly how much difference those factors make, in hard numbers. Use them to design your next campaign with eyes wide open.
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This post is part of our ongoing series bridging academia with practical fundraising experiences. See all the posts here.